It’s been a nice break while it has lasted, but more rain, wind, and, yes, even hail are expected Wednesday afternoon and evening.
First, let’s talk about tonight. It’ll be mostly cloudy, but mild with lows in the mid 60s. It’ll take a while to get there, though, so if you’re headed to the TinCaps game tonight you’ll experience clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
Rain doesn’t arrive until about 4 am or so and will move eastward through the region until about 8 am. This first round is not expected to bring any severe weather with it, though gusty wind and downpours are all likely. The second round is HIGHLY dependent on clearing/heating Wednesday afternoon. Some forecast models, like the RPM displayed below, indicate a strong line of showers and thunderstorms between 4 and 7 pm. Other forecast models are far less bullish.
At this point, I would prepare for some early morning rain with a decent early-mid afternoon. I’ll keep an eye on forecast models and radar trends over the next 24 hours and update you on our storm chances tomorrow evening.
Regardless, I do not expect a severe weather outbreak. Isolated damaging wind gusts, large hail and torrential downpours (which would exacerbate flooding concerns) are all very possible outcomes, however.
ABC21 Chief Meteorologist