After weeks of enjoying (or, if you are a snow fan, enduring!) unseasonable warmth, Mother Nature is finally getting the hint that it is, in fact, winter and it might as well act like it.
The ABC21 Weather Team has been closely watching the development of a large weather system out west that is expected to bring widespread snow to the region. We first mentioned this chance yesterday and since then forecast models have been remarkably consistent in track and intensity.
Assuming travel doesn’t take you outside of NE Indiana or NW Ohio Saturday morning, conditions look cloudy and cold, but dry. Temperatures will be in the 20s with snow starting to our south and west (Lafayette, Indianapolis, etc) just after sunrise. Dry air will filter in ahead of this system, too, so even though radar may look ominous later in the morning (10-11 am) I expect only light snow with few impacts.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON & EVENING
Snow should begin to fall with ease after about 12-1 pm and will likely continue through the day and evening hours. While the snow is not expected to be particularly intense, the size of this system and its duration will cause road conditions to deteriorate over time, particularly south of Fort Wayne where more moisture is available.
When all is said and done, from about 12 pm to 11 pm Saturday, I expect only light snow accumulation north of Fort Wayne, amounting to a dusting to as much as an inch.
Central portions of the region–including Fort Wayne–will see anywhere between 1-2″, though a spotty 3″ report cannot be ruled out if we can overcome the dry air early enough.
South of Fort Wayne–mainly in Grant, Blackford and Jay counties–2-4″ is most likely, with the highest end of that number highly dependent on how early we can get the snow to start. Spotty amounts exceeding 4″ are possible in isolated areas between Muncie and Portland.
Snow in January–especially 1-4″–is not unusual, but it doesn’t come without its inconveniences. Be aware that the further south you travel Saturday, the worse roads/travel conditions will be. 3-6″+ of snow can be expected in the Indy metro area, with a wintry mix likely towards Evansville. While closures are possible, delays are more likely so plan ahead!
The ABC21 Weather Team will continue to track the latest forecast developments and update accordingly: on air, on television and right here on wpta21.com.
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